Personal Play: March 30th
12-2 run‼️ On absolute fire🔥 This is a run that makes you feel real good before entering baseball season. As usual I got both games this afternoon for the tournament.
LEAN:
March Madness:
Houston vs Tennessee 2:20pm EST
Everybody is picking Tennessee to cover and win this game. They started at 4.5 point dogs and are now only 2.5. I think they are the inferior team in this one. I know Vegas set this line at 4.5 for a reason and I’m going to have to lean Houston. For me, I think Tennessee has been a poverty team all season. I can’t bet with them in this one. If Houston hits their shots, they win by 10.
0.5 Unit Play: Houston -1 or ML
Personal Play:
March Madness:
Michigan State vs Auburn 5:05pm EST
This morning I came in thinking I was loving Auburn in this spot. They are the better offensive team in this matchup. And this is like a home game for Auburn, but I think this game is going to be very low scoring. I think Michigan State is the better defensive team and offensive rebounding team. Auburn looked scary bad early in the Michigan game. If not for Pettiford stepping up huge for them late in the second half they would've lost that game. Public has come on late to Auburn as well. The early money moved this line down to 4.5 and now it is up to 5.5 and most likely going 6. Another reason is free throws late, Michigan State is great from the line. One of the biggest reasons teams get out to big leads is the three point ball. Michigan State is the best team in the country at limiting the three. I also think one underdog will hang on and win one of these games. Michigan State always makes great halftime adjustments but I look for them to try and push the tempo early and maybe even lead at halftime. Coach Izzo knows they cannot come out sluggish in this one or they are in deep trouble. In a close, low scoring game I'm going to have to take Michigan State to cover the 5.5 points. I'm going to buy the hook for safe measure at +6 and I would spread a little on the ML because I can see them stealing one here.
1 Unit Play: Michigan State +6
If you want to sprinkle a little on the ML, I will be.