Personal Play: January 22nd

Can’t believe that push last night. Let’s win tonight!

PERSONAL PLAY:

CBB:

Campbell @ Charleston 7:00pm EST

Campbell can cover +3.5 because their offensive ceiling is high enough to trade punches in a game that’s likely to be played in the 70s/80s, and Charleston’s defense has shown it can get loose—most recently in a 112–106 type track meet where stops were optional.    The Camels also have the best shot-creator on the floor in DJ Smith, who’s coming off another 20+ point night (24) and has been on a sustained heater as the leading scorer in CAA play, which matters late when possessions turn into “go get a bucket” situations.    Up front, Dovydas Butka gives Campbell a real chance to win the possession battle—his double-double production and league-leading rebounding in conference games can punish a Charleston team that’s been vulnerable on the glass.    Stylistically, the spread is tight because Charleston’s offense is guard-driven (Jlynn Counter is the engine), but Campbell can stay attached by forcing tough shots and answering with paint touches + free throws rather than relying solely on threes.    There’s also a “buy-low” angle: Campbell just proved they can control large portions of a road game (they led UNCW by as many as 13 in the second half) and a similar effort puts them in position to be live in the final four minutes.    If Campbell keeps Charleston off the line, avoids empty trips, and leans on Smith/Butka to stabilize scoring and rebounding, +3.5 is a very realistic cover even if they don’t snap the long series skid outright.

1 Unit Play: Campbell +4