Personal Play: February 17th

Horrible loss last night. Let’s bounce back. FREE PLAY also today!

PERSONAL PLAY:

College Basketball:

Virginia Tech @ Miami 8:00pm EST

Virginia Tech’s recent against-the-spread performance suggests they’re very reliable as underdogs, especially on the road — the Hokies are 7-0 ATS away this season, showing they keep games competitive even in tough environments.  Despite Miami’s stronger record and home status, Virginia Tech’s ability to stay within striking distance is backed by their 7 straight covers overall, indicating a trend of outperforming expectations.  The Hokies rank above average offensively, hitting over 35% from three and averaging close to 80 points per game, which can keep pressure on Miami’s defense.  Miami has been solid, but home favorites this season don’t necessarily dominate ATS, and spots where a favorite is expected to win big can sometimes tighten late in games.  VT’s tendency to play to the spread in close losses — even when they don’t win outright — means covers are often more attainable than victories.  Historically these teams have split NCAAB matchups and Virginia Tech has upset Miami before, proving they can keep the game close in rivalry spots.  Finally, while Miami is favored to win, multiple predictive models actually show a slight edge for VT covering +8.5, not just losing outright by more than that margin.

1.5 Unit Play: Virginia Tech +8.5